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  • Everyone needs a new home

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    "Housing prices have gone up again!" says a prospective home-buyer. "What can I do?"

    This ad for the Top Town housing development (上上城), which ran in The Beijing News today, makes the bold statement that "Young people should really have their own home."

    The developer's motto is "Firm Ideals of Community" (坚定的理想主义社区), as the text is translated at the upper left. Or perhaps "Firm idealism community," in the logo at the bottom left.

    Like many housing development websites, the homepage for Top Town is an all-Flash deals. The spash page features some sort of pointless car-driving exercise, perhaps intended as a warm-up for the long commute from the wilds of the projected 7th Ring Road to the CBD. But that's the trade-off for owning a 200,000-yuan single-bedroom.

    This article is from Danwei.org

  • Property for the masses

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    China's real estate goldmine
    In his keynote address at the 17th Party Congress, Hu Jintao announced that China would create conditions to allow even more people to enjoy income derived from property. This disclosure seems to have gotten lost amidst the speculation about China's fifth-generation leadership, but its ramifications could be substantial.

    In People's Daily's Chinese-language coverage, much space was devoted to exegesis of the meaning of the words "creating conditions" for the "masses" to enjoy "income derived from property." And while the news report provided only superficial elucidation of the quoted words and phrases, serious consideration is worthwhile.

    What does it mean to "create conditions" for income derived from property? If the example of Western countries is any guide, a bedrock condition for the enjoyment of property is an operational legal system. After all, a property right is only as good as the ability to enforce it, and in places where property rights cannot be safeguarded by law, they are protected by force. While China is understandably resistant to the wholesale transplanting of Western institutions into Chinese society, property rights seem unlikely to flourish in China without significant development of its court system, which is neither independent nor institutionally experienced in enforcing property rights.

    As for the "masses," the campaign by definition seems to target China's middle class and seems unlikely to alleviate the widening gap between China's rich and poor. As a National Bureau of Statistics expert quoted in the People's Daily piece explained, "property income" includes money from a sale or lease, and also interest accrued on, dividends paid on, and the appreciation in value of: bank deposits, negotiable securities, houses or vehicles. Overwhelmingly, the people in a position to earn such income are already middle class.

    The property from which China's rural poor might be able to earn income, of course, is land, but despite the new property law, the State still claims ownership of all land in China. This situation casts the phrase "income derived from property" in a curious light. Private ownership of real property — land — is the norm for private property systems in the West. While personal property (e.g., jewelry) and intangible property (e.g. copyright) have long been recognized as forms of private property as well, real property is the conceptual basis for Western understanding of private property. How income-generating property develops in China, in the absence of freely-alienable land, will be interesting to watch.

    The stated goal of this income-generating property campaign is to provide ordinary Chinese people with a means of hedging against inflation and enjoying even greater wealth. The ambition is admirable, but given the constraints, actual implementation will likely prove elusive. For the moment, then, the true promise of this campaign may only be that there's new lingo for the masses.

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    This article is from Danwei.org

  • The ease of being a landlord in the Song Dynasty

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    Room for rent.
    Housing prices - how high will they rise? Will they ever come down? Will rents ever catch up?

    The housing market is a hot topic of conversation in Chinese media these days even outside the business section of the newspaper. Three of the four short anecdotal essays in this week's China Newsweek touch on housing prices; here's a piece that looks back at some famous landlords of history:

    More envious of a landlord than an immortal

    by Li Kaizhou / CN

    If you're discussing the greatest landlords of all time, then you have to include Mr. Zheng Jianzhong of the later years of the Five Dynasties. The incredibly rich Mr. Zheng owned several thousand homes in Anlu County, Hebei, alone; the majority of the county's tens of thousands of inhabitants were his tenants. At the end of every month, people would gather outside the gate of Zheng Manor, bringing their rent money. That scene was awash in the clatter of strings of cash and the clamor of people's voices. Two thirds of the county's police force would be sent over to preserve order and to insure that the tenants would find no opportunity to start a fight with Mr. Zheng.

    As described, the tenants were simply too numerous. If that group of men got impatient, they wouldn't have to resort to violence; each of them could simply spit on the ground, and Mr. Zheng would be soaked. If they each took a piss, Zheng Manor would have to look into flood-prevention measures. So Mr. Zheng did not dare to raise rent prices too high. While other areas were rising, his rents did not move, and if there were natural disasters that had some tenants in dire straits, he'd even knock off a bit of their rent. So although the Zheng family owned lots of houses, the rent they accumulated was not as astounding as you'd imagine. According to Spring and Autumn of the Ten States, it was just "tens of thousands" every year. The currency was a mess at the time; transactions in iron coins often took the form of piles and stacks, so the real value of "tens of thousands" was not necessarily all that great.

    However, as a landlord in possession of so much real estate, even if income wasn't too high and there was a need to economize and save up for rainy days, day-to-day expenditure was no worry at all. Besides, landlords at that time just waited for their tenants to approach them; there was no need to put up ads all over. Usually, they'd just make a few rounds of inspection and collect the rent at the end of the month - it was leisurely and risk-free. So long as government policy did not change and there was no revolution that attempted to equalize the rich and the poor, this free and easy lifestyle could be sustained indefinitely. I looked up the Zheng family register and discovered that Zheng Jianzhong's son Zheng Shu and grandson Zheng Yifu were both state officials, and they took to officialdom like fish to water. But they did not get rid of their identities as landlords; they not only continued to rent out houses in Anlu County, but they constructed tenements in Kaifeng, Henan, as well, renting them out to scholars who came from far off to take exams. Of course, all this happened at the start of the Northern Song.

    It is said that in the first year of Emperor Renzong of the Song, there was a landlord in Nanjing (today's Shangqiu, Henan) named Li. His name is unknown to history, but as he was second-born, we'll call him Li Xiao'er for the time being. Li Xiao'er owned just two houses. He lived in the first himself and rented out the second. However, because housing prices were skyrocketing at the time and rental prices were following them upward, the monthly rent he collected on that one property was enough for him to live on, and Li Xiao'er was quite content. Now one day, a strange man arrived at the Li house, calling himself the reincarnation of the Immortal Lu Dongbing who had come to the mortal realm to make someone immortal. Because Xiao'er was so pure and upright, he had come specifically to take him. Xiao'er didn't believe him, so the visitor immediately demonstrated his ability to turn stone into gold. Then he said, if Xiao'er was willing, he would pass on that skill to him, so that in the future he would no longer have to go to work - he could take it easy in indescribable comfort. Xiao'er still refused. The visitor was amazed, and asked him why he was so stubborn. Xiao'er said sweetly, "You don't think I've got it easy now?"

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  • The secret behind the rocketing price of Shenzhen's real estate

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    Southern Weekly, 2007.07.12
    After two consecutive years of government price adjustments and controls on real estate, prices are still jumping upward rather than declining. Shenzhen is indisputably the bellwether of this rising tide: housing prices in Shenzhen leaped 50% in the first half of this year.

    Shenzhen has been going through an unprecedented real estate boom during the last 18 months; average housing prices have risen from 7,000 yuan (US$922) per square meter to 16,000 yuan (USD$2,109) today.

    According the SW article, the primary reason is that supplements in the currency market are above their normal level. In other words, there is too much money in the Chinese market. Under these conditions, people will generally choose to spend their extra cash on investments, but Chinese people do not have many choices of places to invest. Most of them choose immovable property rather than the high risk stock market. At the same time, the rising RMB has attracted many foreign investors, bringing even more money into the market. Add in speculative buying and developer hype, and it's not very hard to understand the situation.

    In the conclusion of the article, the reporter quotes an anonymous real estate businessman: "A crash is inevitable, maybe next year, maybe beyond. When that day comes, nobody can escape."

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